關於 stocks going down ，我們在網路上蒐集到這些相關的討論、資訊與評價

https://youtu.be/RTTLIpQbS3Y
Do you know what STINKY TOFU is? If you have been to Hong Kong and Taiwan night markets, you will know what this is. I have been craving for these tofu. My neighbour bought me some from the SS2 shop, I have tried and found them not smelly enough and just more herbal. I think they are more Taiwanese style. So I told them, let me try to make my own Hong Kong style stinky type. So I went on doing some research on how we can make the fermentation. Guess what, I must say I am super happy and excited over the stinkiness in my house. Weird but true. I felt like I was in a Hong Kong night market! I gave myself a 7/10 mark. Hahaha.

HK Style Fermentation Ingredients (2.5 litres jar):
. 1 whole mustard green/spinach, cut
. 4 to 5 stocks of coriander/spring onions, cut
. 200 g or more old ginger, sliced
. 20 to 25 pcs or more fresh prawns for prawn heads
. 5 pieces of fermented bean curds, mashed. 1 cup rice wine
. 1 litre rice water (water from washing rice)
. 1 litre cooled down cooked water
. 1/2 cup of salt
* Mix all above into an air-tight glass jar & leave it in your storage for 2 weeks to 1 month. It can get very smelly!!

For Fried Stinky Tofu Ingredients :
. 20 pcs of small to medium size firm tofu (not the soft tofu)
. oil for frying
* Soak the tofu in fermented water overnight in a sealed container overnight in the refrigerator.

To serve (dig a whole in the middle of the tofu & add below ingredients) :
. Spicy sauce or
. Pickled cabbage or kimchi
. Cut coriander or spring onions

My only advice for you all is fry your tofu outside the house or with your hood on full blast! Otherwise you will end up having the night market store smell for 1.5 days like I had. I don't hate it, but everyone in the house was hiding inside their rooms!

I am glad I found the secret of making this. Hope I will improve this and make them even more smelly and yummier? Yes I will soak the tofu for more than a day. So what is next? I still have a huge jar of Taiwanese fermentation going on. I will be able to try it in 2 weeks. I am determined to let it ferment for a month. Will let u all know soon.

Yes they are stinky when u prepare them and fry them up. But they taste far better than they smell. It has many health benefits like helping the digestive system and treating cold symptoms. According to some studies, eating stinky tofu can also help prevent osteoporosis, lower the risk of prostate and breast cancer, and reduce cholesterol. Hmm, interesting. I love them no matter what!
Dare to try?

#melindalooi #melcooks #stinkytofu #臭豆腐 #fashionfood #dressupathome #FashionChef #ootd

@myla_aka_lala is wearing @melindalooicouture & I am wearing @melindalooirtw Cruise 2020 design which is on 80% discount now. Last 2 days of #merdekaSale . Don't miss it! Click in BIO #supportLocal

🌻另一個Zoom會議(第二次貼......有補上一些內容)
繼上次的年報導讀會議後, 讓我們再做另一個會議! 這次很榮幸邀請到一位對估值很有見解的股友前輩來帶大家了解估值(恩, 這次我會是主持人, 不是主講人).
主題: 估值(valuation)分享會(Cat: 這不算基礎的估值會議)
主講人: 小揚(from安泰價值投資)
https://www.facebook.com/antaiinvestment　(此為小揚的粉絲頁)
參與者: 具基本估值能力. 若打算參加者, 請事先跟我(請私訊)提出一個關於估值的case study, 到時候可在會議中分享(最好是以投影片形式呈現, 這樣到時候好跟大家分享). 若有估值的問題, 也可以提出.
Case study可以是美股, 也可以是台股.
時間: 台灣時間07/10 (周六)晚間９點.
預計一個小時(不會像上次那樣冗長了😅): 前30分鐘由小揚做分享, 後30分鐘大家分享估值案例&提問
進行方式: 以Zoom進行(之後會私訊會議資訊給參與者)

🌻Morgan Stanley Mid-year Investor Outlook: A tricky transition

https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/midyear-2021-global-markets-outlook

🌻在您投資生涯中, 有沒有一些觀念讓您受用很多?
下面這位投資名人的好觀念影響我很深. 他的意思是, 一般投資人, 只要能説出三個買一家公司的理由, 就很夠了. 這也迫使我, 每次在買股票時, 問自己對這家公司的了解有多少. 也會去衡量公司的優點與缺點在哪裡.

"It is vital (重要的) that you know what you own, that if I asked you on the street why you like a certain stock, you can give me three reasons. If you don't know how they make their money, who their key clients are and what they make if, then I will tell you that you are over your head and should not own individual stocks."

全文在此:
Jim Cramer: In Times Like This, Go for the Easy Money
Look at the stocks you own. Can you tell me why you've got them? If you can't answer the following three questions, then have a look at several I like right now.

We've endured the meme stock craziness, with all of its love for heavily shorted stocks. We have watched the collapse of bitcoin to levels viewed as shocking, even if they are still more than double where they were not that long ago. We've dealt with Fed officials making it clear that they are no longer on the side of the bulls or the bears. They are on the side of job growth, but are wary of inflation. We've seen the end of the rush to get vaccines, which means that millions of people are going to get the new COVID variant, because there is no natural immunity to it. We've watched as the hopes for an infrastructure bill have collapsed. We've endured shortages of everything from chips to plastic to imported goods and labor.

And we're still standing, yeah, yeah, yeah.

Yep, we are in one of those halcyon moments, where the masks are off -- even if they shouldn't be -- and Americans are back doing what they do best: consume, spend, go out to eat and then consume and spend some more.

There are times in the stock market where the collective mindset is revealed. This is one of those times: Things are cool, it's not a big moment, there's no real news for a bit, it's the historically strong period and we can reach some conclusions about where we are.

When things are like this, it is important to remember that buyers like to revert to tried-and-true companies that thrive no matter what. These are companies that have an edge and are better at what they do than other companies.

You know that I am a great believer in index funds, that the average person doesn't have the time or the inclination to research individual stocks. It's a difficult barrier. I think you need to make time to read the quarterly report and listen to the conference call, to Google articles and, if possible, get some research about the companies you own. It is vital that you know what you own, that if I asked you on the street why you like a certain stock, you can give me three reasons. If you don't know how they make their money, who their key clients are and what they make if, then I will tell you that you are over your head and should not own individual stocks. I am reminded by this, because, once again, without a mask, I can be recognized and if I am not holding "Nvidia the Second," I can carry on a conversation.

I have had many in the last two weeks and when I have asked this litany of questions, I find myself at a loss as to why almost no one knew what they owned. But they thirsted for individual stocks, because they, like me, think things are better post pandemic. No, that's not a facetious comment. Many, many stocks did better with a stay-at-home economy. A huge number.

So what do I do? I revert to what others do when you are stumped about how to stay in touch with stocks, but want to do less homework. That means buying stocks that are accessible, not stocks like Unity (U) or Snowflake (SNOW) or Twilio (TWLO) or Okta (OKTA) .

I revert to normal businesses people know and I suggest they Google some articles, peruse the conference call, but, above all, like the company's products so you can buy more if it goes down.

Here's some that I have been telling people I like:

First is Ford (F) . I think the Ford lineup is amazing. The electric F-150 series will be incredible. I am eager to get a Maverick for my family, because it is a smaller pickup that will get the job done for the myriad little things I need to do with this farm I bought from that crazy bitcoin foray. I like the competitive edge of the CEO, who says he is going to bury Elon Musk when the Lightning comes out. I even think the Bronco is cool as all get out. Most important, though? I think the chip shortage is ending. My semiconductor friends are telling me the foundries are producing more feature-rich chips and that means Ford can pump out the trucks small business people love and need. Plus, the used car prices at last have plateaued, according to their most important pricing index. Halcyon times.

Second, Costco (COST) : The samples are coming back. Tell me you don't love the samples. You need things in bulk. You want low prices. You want to get all of the things that people don't think of with Costco, like insurance, hearing-aids -- hey, they are a fortune -- jewelry, things around the house. You go and you will buy far more than you first came for. My kind of store.

The kids love this American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) , which we just bought for my charitable trust, which you can follow along by joining the Action Alerts PLUS club. Jay Schottenstein, the CEO, came on "Mad Money" recently and it's clear that his Aerie model has real staying power: 26 consecutive quarters of double digit growth. No flash in the pan, that one. Number one brand in jeans for the 15 to 25 year old group. The best in the mall. How did I know this? I see the credit card bills.

I got up this morning to do my physical therapy. I have been doing it ever since I hurt my back in February. I have this really cool pair of sneakers that fit me perfectly and I love them, but I am fortunate enough to have a vacation house and I am always taking those shoes with me.

So I went on Amazon (AMZN) this morning and lo and behold I saw them for half price. I bought two pairs. Then I went over everything I have bought in the last year and got a bunch of those things. Then I bought a pair of binoculars, because mine were stolen. I paid half price.

Yep, Amazon's universal. I was talking to Alexa, while I was ordering, getting some new music on, asking questions. I saw that despite all of the Sturm und Drang of Amazon being late with things, all the delivery dates were within range. I didn't click on any ads, and I didn't need the speed of Web Services, but the whole thing reminded me about how special the darned company is. I don't care if it's ahead or behind plan for the moment. I would just buy some more when it goes down.

Finally, Apple (AAPL) . I think people who don't own Apple should look what they are holding at this very moment. Yes, right now. Or look at what's in your lap or on the table besides your fork. And then think about the bill you paid last night without knowing it. Think about what you bought in the App store yesterday. Think about what would happen if it would break or get stolen or, left in the Uber (UBER) , or heaven forbid, be dropped into the pool or in the, yes, toilet.

There, that's what you buy in halcyon times. Stocks of companies you know that if they go lower, because things get less halcyon, you are fine with it and buy more. If things go up, believe me, you will participate.

So accept the moment. Don't try for the hard money. Go for the easy kind. That's the best kind.

https://realmoney.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/jim-cramer--15692051

Picture: 牡丹(peony)花開. 恨不得院子裡有一塊地是牡丹園.

🌻高速成長股的跌幅

這幾年, 越來越多人投資成長股, 尤其是高速成長股, 是一件很好的事情. 但很多投資人應該只看到高速成長股帶來的漲幅, 卻沒看到另一面.

一位分析師做的研究: 除了dot.com那時候的大跌, 其他時候, 高速成長軟體股的跌幅平均是25-27%.

下圖是截至05/17的跌幅(未包括SPAC). 是-37%.

成長股很受到投資人的青睞, 也很容易變成動能股. 當動能失去的時候, 就像重力加速度一樣, 跌速跟跌幅會很快很大.

投資成長股, 尤其是高速成長股, 對我來說, 要不就是佛系, 要不就是練盤感&操作. 可以看適合自己的方法&投資的目標是甚麼(而其實成長股經過去年的大漲幅, 大跌前的估值也已經很高了).

一位財富已自由的財經名嘴的名言:
"Discipline trumps conviction." (紀律勝過信念)

可以跟這句放在一起看:
"I learned that you may be right, but if enough people believe you're wrong the markets can really hurt you." --BlackRock bond chief Rick Rieder

至於成長股還能不能買呢? 可以參考下面這兩段:
While tech stocks have taken the biggest hit from rising inflation concerns, some investors see the recent retreat as an opportunity to buy fast-growing companies.

“Within tech, there are still some companies that look very cheap,” said Jane Shoemake, client portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors. “If you believe in the longer-term trends supporting these companies, you should be buying.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-05-18-2021-11621323328

🌻FTCH, FVRR, PINS, PYPL, ROKU電話會議內容已整理好. 可到部落格那邊去看: https://makingsenseofusastocks.blogspot.com/

之前先錄了一段影片, 解釋我是怎麼做財報內容&電話會議內容整理的: https://youtu.be/vvkrs6CiWdw

🎯上次有提, 九月份會來做年報財報的導讀. 現在台灣的疫情那麼嚴重, 我有考慮在這個周末來進行, 這樣有興趣的讀者可以利用宅在家的時間來學習. Anyway. 如果決定提早做的話, 我週四會將訊息貼在這邊.

🌻關於市場
Markets are likely to be volatile until additional economic data provides a clearer picture, said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Advisors. “I don’t think we could know anything really about which way inflation is going to go until September, but the market is unable to wait that long.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-05-20-2021-11621496568

🌻關於cryptocurrency
“[Cryptocurrency] is no longer an asterisk for the general market,” Ms. Krosby said. “It seems like it’s becoming very much part of the general market, and questions whether or not the selloff in bitcoin is representative of concerns over risk-on risk-off over the larger market.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-05-20-2021-11621496568

🌻營運分析: 如何看一家公司在疫情後有沒有失去競爭力?

The bounceback was largely to be expected after a dismal comparable quarter last year, when stores had to close due to Covid-19 restrictions. A comparison to pre-pandemic numbers yields a more sober outlook: Measured against the same quarter in 2019, Kohl’s net sales declined 4.2%, while comparable sales at Macy’s fell 10.5%.

One positive surprise was a turn to profitability for the two department store giants; analysts polled by FactSet had expected a net loss from both. But that was partly thanks to factors outside of the retailers’ control: Port congestion has led to less inventory across the apparel industry, leading to more full-priced selling. Inventory declined 25% at Kohl’s compared with a year earlier and fell 14% at Macy’s.

Kohl’s shares fell 10% after it reported Thursday, and Macy’s is down around 5% since reporting earlier in the week. Yet they are both trading at prices higher than pre-pandemic levels.

That seems hard to justify. The truth is that department stores were losing customers before and during the pandemic, and will probably continue to do so after it. While Kohl’s and Macy’s sales remain below pre-pandemic levels, off-price and big-box retailers have seen their apparel sales increase. At TJX’s Marmaxx division, which houses T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, sales in the quarter ended May 1 were up 14.4% compared with the same period in 2019. Target’s apparel sales grew 29% over the comparable period.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/return-to-normal-not-good-enough-for-department-stores-11621530127

🌻通膨. The magic number 4.

Mackintosh 表示，經濟復甦提高通膨也有利股市，聯準會 (Fed) 在這個階段也很樂意忽略通膨，因為經濟成長正是政府想要的。但當通膨進一步上升，壓縮到股票報酬率時， 4% 通膨率將成為關鍵點。

據統計自 1957 年標普 500 指數創立以來，美國曾有 9 次通膨率高於 4%，這其中的 8 次，股市在 3 個月後下跌。只有 2005 年突破 4% 又隨即回落，因而未影響大盤。
https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4647748

WSJ原文在此:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflations-magic-number-is-four-11621355006

🌻附上本周發表財報的公司一覽表(在下方留言處)

🌻專門介紹美國豪宅的YouTuber。宅在家沒事可以欣賞一下。
https://m.youtube.com/user/enesyilmazer

Pictures: from earningswhispers.com; It's always a pleasant surprise when animal friends visited. This time, three in a low.
一次有三隻鹿來拜訪.
影片: https://youtu.be/TxLTGe9IdWA

Many People Think You Should Invest In Many Things... But Why You Should Only Invest In What You Know? Need Cashflow To Invest? Discover What High-Income Skill You Were Born To Do: https://knowinglyinvest.danlok.link

You’ve heard it all the time, invest in stocks, invest in crypto, invest in real estate, but none of that matters. Dan FINALLY reveals and breaks down in this video the secret principle on why you should only invest in what you know and nothing else.

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And as chairman of DRAGON 100, the world’s most exclusive advisory board, Dan Lok also seeks to provide capital to minority founders and budding entrepreneurs.

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If you want the no b.s. way to master your financial destiny, then learn from Dan. Subscribe to his channel now.

★☆★ CONNECT WITH DAN ON SOCIAL MEDIA ★☆★
YouTube: http://youtube.danlok.link
Dan Lok Blog: http://blog.danlok.link
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Linkedin: http://mylinkedin.danlok.link
Podcast: http://thedanlokshow.danlok.link

#DanLok #WhatYouKnow #Invest

Please understand that by watching Dan’s videos or enrolling in his programs does not mean you’ll get results close to what he’s been able to do (or do anything for that matter).

He’s been in business for over 20 years and his results are not typical.

Most people who watch his videos or enroll in his programs get the “how to” but never take action with the information. Dan is only sharing what has worked for him and his students.

Your results are dependent on many factors… including but not limited to your ability to work hard, commit yourself, and do whatever it takes.

Entering any business is going to involve a level of risk as well as massive commitment and action. If you're not willing to accept that, please DO NOT WATCH DAN’S VIDEOS OR SIGN UP FOR ONE OF HIS PROGRAMS.

This video is about Why You Should Only Invest In What You Know...
https://youtu.be/f9V8F9Lodbk
https://youtu.be/f9V8F9Lodbk

Is Technical Analysis enough to profit from the financial markets? Here's the truth and it's not what you think...

SUBSCRIBE: https://bit.ly/2MsGjRR

If you want more actionable Forex trading tips and strategies, go to https://www.tradingwithrayner.com

**FOLLOW RAYNER**
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1:00 To find out whether it works we have to compare it to a benchmark. Okay, so the benchmark that we will compare against is the S&P 500. So we can see that historically S&P does about an average of 9-10% a year with a maximum drawdown of 55%. So there are two ways, right, we can so-called beat the benchmark.

1:30 To find out whether we can beat the market is we are going to go with a simple strategy. In this strategy, that I choose right, it's a momentum strategy. Okay, so basically, it looks to buy high and sell higher. Momentum. So these are the rules of the momentum trading strategy.

4:00 Clearly, technical analysis work. So yes, technical analysis work, but I want you to think about something alright. Is that all you need? For all to answer is no and here's why. Number one. Risk management.

5:30 The second thing, psychology. Why do I say that? Because imagine this. Imagine at this point in time, right, over here, 2002, alright, in May you are down 3.9%. You might think, "Oh, it's nothing right. I can survive. No use, it's only 4%. Come on. Gorilla two is here. Then you're down another 0.5% in June and by a scratch, right? I can do this.

6:00 Let's do a quick recap, right. Number one, yes technical analysis it can work. Right, I just shared with you a very simple momentum strategy that actually beats the market over the last 28 years. Very simple strategy. Even, you know, a 13- or 14- year old kid can understand. But I shared with you that if you don't apply proper risk management, if you're over-leveraged, if you are risking too much per trade, right you will not survive the drawdown. That's a fact.

7:00 Another thing is the psychology, right. You can have the best trading strategy in the world, but if you can not handle the emotional drawdown that comes with it, you can not handle the losses, right, the negative punches that the market is giving you, even a trading strategy with an edge right will not save you as well. So I hope by now you can understand that yes, right, technical analysis can work by in itself without fundamentals, without analysis, without anything. But you must have the proper risk management and the right training psychology. Okay?

8:00 So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video. Even a little more about what I do, training strategies, and techniques right. Go down to my website over here: tradingwithrayner.com. Okay and if you just scroll down to the bottom right somewhere here. I've got a couple of trading books that you can download, right, The Ultimate Trend Following Guide to Right Massive Trends in the Market and The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading. So what we have covered a little is more of a trend following at momentum trading.

10:00 So if you are more of a discretionary trader, right, you know more about market structures and support resistance than The Ultimate Guide To Price Action Trading is for you. Click on this blue button and I'll send it to your inbox.

So with that said, right, I've come towards the end of this video any feedback comment. Let me know it in the comment section below and if you've enjoyed this video hit the like button! Bam Bam! And subscribe to my Youtube channels so you can get more of such videos every single week. So with that said I wish you good luck and good trading. I'll talk to you soon!

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0:10 Forex Trading for Beginners: What is Forex Trading
First and foremost, what is Forex Trading? Alright so, Forex Trading, right, or the word Forex refers to Foreign Exchange. What you are doing is trading one currency for another.

1:20 Forex Trading for Beginners: Who trades Forex and why?
So there are numerous market participants, right, who trade Forex. For example, you have the central banks, banks, corporations and retail traders. So central banks could be because, right, they want to make our economy more competitive, right, by devaluing their currency.

2:20 Forex Trading for Beginners: Forex Hierarchy
So this is the hierarchy, right, you can see that at the top of the food chain is the major banks, the central banks. Then followed by medium-sized and smaller banks, then the brokers, okay, hedge funds, corporations, and finally, retail traders at the bottom.

2:45 Forex Trading for Beginners: Advantages of Forex Trading.
So there are numerous advantages of Forex Trading. Number one, there is high liquidity, right? So unlike stocks that sometimes if you trade penny stocks or small-cap stocks there is no liquidity, right?

4:41 Forex Trading for Beginners: Currency Pairs
So now, what are some of the different currency pairs in the market? Right, there are three broad currency pairs that you should be aware of, right.

6:25 Forex Trading for Beginners: Forex Trading Sessions
Let's talk about the different Forex trading sessions, so. Unlike the stock markets where you're just in one session, the Forex market, you have typically three different sessions.

10:05 Forex Trading for Beginners: Forex Trading Terminology
Now, moving on, right, let's talk about some common Forex trading terminologies. Right, this might be slightly different from stocks, right, but generally the concepts, right, can be applied the same.

21:25 Forex Trading for Beginners: Types of Forex Trading Orders
So, moving on, right, the different types of Forex orders, right, so there are a few types, right. Market order, limit order, stop order, stop-loss order.

26:29 Forex Trading for Beginners: Forex Charts
Okay, so now, the different types of Forex chart. Right, so generally there are, well, there are many types of Forex chart, but I'm just going to, you know, share with you the three common ones. The line chart, bar chart, and the candlestick chart.

30:27 Forex Trading for Beginners: Forex Analysis
Right, so your fundamental analysis, you have technical analysis and sentiment analysis.

34:38 Forex Trading for Beginners:
Forex brokers, generally it can be broken down into one of these two categories, right, dealing desk broker, and a non-dealing desk broker.

42:53 Forex Trading for Beginners: How to Protect Yourself
Alright, so, let's say, for example, you trade with your broker, and you know, you find that your broker did something unjust to you, how can you protect yourself?

I have come to the end of this Forex trading course, I hope you got as much value out of it, and if you want to learn more, okay, you can go down to my website, tradingwithrayner.com.

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